Taxes

States Should Act Fast on UC Trust Fund Deposits, and Other Takeaways from the New Treasury Guidance on ARPA Funding

The Department of the Treasury has finalized its rule governing State and Local Fiscal Recovery Funds (SLFRF), the $350 billion state and local governments received under the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA). State policymakers should have three key takeaways:

  1. If states want to use the funds to replenish their unemployment compensation (UC) trust funds—and they should—then acting quickly may be to their advantage. If states lock in their plans before April, they are in the clear, but if they wait until after April 1, then accepting the funds will subject them to a maintenance of effort requirement on UC benefits through 2024.
  2. The list of allowable expenditures just got longer—a lot longer. Under the new rule, far more expenditures are permitted, the definition of retaining government employment levels has been expanded to include increasing government employment, and the definition of revenue loss has been expanded to cover some revenue gains.
  3. The Tax Mandate, which prohibits using fiscal recovery funds to facilitate state tax cuts directly or indirectly, is essentially unchanged, with Treasury largely ignoring comments about the difficulties arising from the provisions of the interim rule. Nevertheless, because most states are experiencing substantial revenue growth, they have broad latitude to cut taxes without implicating the mandate, which may yet be invalidated by pending litigation.

Each of these deserves consideration, beginning with the most actionable for state lawmakers: the changes pertaining to replenishing unemployment compensation trust funds.

Urgency on Using American Rescue Plan Act Dollars for Unemployment Compensation Trust Fund Replenishment

States’ unemployment compensation trust funds took a beating during the pandemic, one of the few areas where states are in worse shape financially. States paid out an estimated $187 billion in unemployment benefits over the past two years (February 2020 through January 2022), compared to pre-pandemic averages of about $30 billion a year, a rate of expenditure which rapidly depleted many states’ accounts. That’s unsurprising given that it represents 2.6 times states’ aggregate pre-pandemic balance of $72 billion.

The federal government spent an additional $672 billion on extended and expanded benefits, but it also provided loans (called Title XII Advances) to states which exhausted their own funds. Nine states and the Virgin Islands still owe the federal government a combined $40.5 billion, and state balances are tens of billions of dollars lower than they were pre-pandemic. Under ARPA, states are authorized to use fiscal recovery funds to repay Title XII Advances and restore trust funds to pre-pandemic (defined as January 27, 2020) levels. Unfortunately, many states have yet to act on this authority, currently leaving about $76 billion on the table.

The interim final rule, which Treasury issued last fall, provided states with assurances that fiscal recovery funds could be used for this purpose. The newly promulgated final rule, however, adds an important provision: after April 1, 2022, when the final rule goes into effect, depositing SLFRF dollars into unemployment compensation trust funds will create a maintenance of effort obligation through December 2024, meaning that states would not be permitted to take any action to reduce weekly benefits or the number of weeks of benefits available.

Many states may have no desire to do this. Others may anticipate the need for an adjustment. Regardless, state lawmakers may be wary of having their hands tied by the federal government. But there is a grace period, which could be a motivation for states to act fast.

The maintenance of effort requirement does not apply to any state acting under the interim rule, which is in effect until April 1. The new rule, moreover, promises Treasury’s forbearance of enforcing the requirement for deposits or repayments made after that date if recipient governments have taken “significant steps toward” it by April 1, “such as the legislative appropriation of funds for this purpose, even if a formal obligation has not occurred.” This means that if legislatures approved the use prior to April 1, then the maintenance of effort requirement would not bind the state even if the actual deposit or repayment took place later—presumably after the next tranche of recovery fund payments hit in May.

There is, moreover, another reason to act quickly: doing so maximizes the amount that can be put toward UC trust funds, which are one of the best possible uses of this one-time funding. States are permitted to replenish funds up to pre-pandemic levels, but understandably cannot do so, draw down funds, and replenish again up to that level. As states begin to collect UI taxes for 2022, most of which is remitted in the year’s first quarter, their balances will be higher and the amount they can draw from ARPA funds will consequently be lower. Acting expeditiously will maximize how much of their SLFRF aid states can spend on putting their UC trust funds back on a path to solvency.

States Can Still Put Another $76 Billion Toward Unemployment Trust Funds Under the American Rescue Plan Act (in billions)
State Still Available   State Still Available
Alabama $68   Nevada $1,594
Alaska $102   New Hampshire $107
California $22,249   New Jersey $3,368
Colorado $2,113   New York $11,920
Connecticut $1,157   North Carolina $764
Florida $2,633   Ohio $636
Georgia $1,610   Oklahoma $844
Hawaii $523   Oregon $555
Illinois $5,946   Pennsylvania $4,124
Kansas $195   Rhode Island $328
Kentucky $273   Tennessee $152
Louisiana $822   Texas $815
Massachusetts $1,169   Utah $265
Michigan $3,588   Vermont $277
Minnesota $2,815   Washington $3,002
Mississippi $113   Wisconsin $799
Missouri $459   District of Columbia $433

Sources: U.S. Department of the Treasury; Tax Foundation calculations as of January 27, 2022.

Evolving Spending Authority

From the start, the $350 billion for state and local governments has been of doubtful utility. Proponents insisted the money was necessary to stave off austerity measures, but as Treasury notes, state and local tax revenues are up a staggering 21 percent year-over-year. States have until the end of 2024 to obligate the funds and through 2026 to spend them, so there is not a rush on some expenditures. It has, nevertheless, become apparent that state and local governments would struggle to find ways to spend this massive, and massively unnecessary, cash infusion if limited to the four categories of expenditures authorized by the original legislation.

In response to this acknowledgment, that the funds were largely unnecessary for the purposes for which Congress appropriated the money, Treasury arrogated to itself the power to read expansive new prerogatives into those definitions. For instance, governments are allowed to use the funding to respond to negative economic impacts of the pandemic. Treasury has largely waived the requirement to demonstrate these impacts, instead assuming that just about anything designed to benefit low- or moderate-income households or communities is a pandemic response. Consequently, a wide range of expenditures in housing, education, health care, and childcare are now authorized.

Remediation of vacant lots? Pandemic response. School facilities? Pandemic response. Early learning programs? Pandemic response. Health insurance coverage expansion? Pandemic response. Family leave? You guessed it. These may all be worthy programs, but it’s a stretch to see them as contemplated by Congress in enacting ARPA.

Similarly, the definition of restoring pre-pandemic government employment—an allowable use—now includes increasing employment up to 7.5 percent above pre-pandemic baseline, a dramatic increase in public employment that governments will have to continue to fund once ARPA dollars dry up. And, mostly of benefit to smaller local governments, it’s now possible to claim a “standard allowance” of $10 million in revenue loss even if revenues actually grew. Meanwhile, recipients have enhanced flexibility on the time periods to use in calculating whether they truly lost revenue.

Still Stingy Tax Authority

The American Rescue Plan Act contains a so-called Tax Mandate intended to prohibit states from spending the federal money on tax cuts, either directly (reasonable) or indirectly (potentially quite unreasonable). The prohibition on indirectly facilitating a tax cut is vague, expansive, and difficult to quantify. The Treasury appropriately, in both the interim and now the final rule, confirmed that states are not prohibited from cutting taxes if they can afford the tax cuts out of their own revenue growth. This was the case for all sixteen states which enacted or implemented income tax cuts in 2021, and will be true of many more states providing tax relief this year, given robust revenue gains. With narrower provisions, Treasury also concedes that states can cut taxes offset by spending cuts, and allows simple conformity to new federal tax provisions, while establishing a 1 percent de minimis threshold to avoid creating headaches for states considering policies with only incidental revenues.

The interim final rule, however, had several shortcomings, which the Tax Foundation and others addressed in regulatory comments. Although Treasury acknowledge some of these comments in its final rule, it did not act on them. Whereas Treasury bent over backwards to respond to requests for more expansive spending authority, it declined to address deficiencies in its enforcement of the Tax Mandate.

Treasury cannot, of course, rescind the mandate, the constitutionality of which is currently being litigated in multiple courts. It could, however, have made the de minimis threshold an exclusion, avoiding a cliff effect. It could have revised its use of spending aggregation at the department level to quantify spending cuts, which shortchanges states when they trim budgets. And it could have allowed states to catch up on postponed conformity actions. It did none of these things.

States will continue to cut taxes because revenues are skyrocketing. But some will also be keeping a close eye on litigation targeting this dubious restriction on states’ fiscal autonomy.

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